In the past few days, nationwide polls are showing Barack Obama closing the gap between himself and Hillary Clinton on the Democrat side and John McCain continuing to lead in most states in the GOP going into Super Tuesday. In 2008, the people that make their living by conducting opinion polls as to which candidate will win on election night have found themselves looking foolish on several occasions this year alone. That is why I am reluctant to get all excited about a John McCain and Barack Obama contest this fall. On Super Tuesday, all of these pollsters will once again have a chance to redeem themselves with the American people after being so wrong in earlier contests in Iowa and New Hampshire.
Even if the polls are off by 5% or more, it still looks like John McCain is well on his way to winning the GOP nomination for President. What is shocking about McCain's potential victory is that he is winning with Republican voters without having to sell his soul to conservative leaders in the process. Almost all conservative leaders do not like John McCain and they are actively working to make sure he does not win the Republican nomination. Every time John McCain wins another Republican primary state he makes these previous GOP leaders look weak and out of touch with other members of the Republican Party. I have known for a couple of years that the GOP base was changing, but I had no idea that it was changing so fast until John McCain lunged into the lead for the GOP nomination and never looked back.
On the democratic side, Super Tuesday could very well muddy the water more than it brings closure to which candidate will eventually become the Democrats choice to run in November. I believe that both Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton will come out of Super Tuesday as winners. If I am correct then it will take Democrats longer to find their candidate for President than the Republicans, which also is going against the early convention wisdom of the 2008 race for the White House. Right now and after Super Tuesday I still believe there is a better than 50/50 chance that John McCain and Barack Obama will be the two major party candidates for President. I just love it when the American people catch the political pundits off guard and act in a way that is unexpected. Most people, self included, grow tired of listening to television talking heads that have only one objective in mind and that is to brainwash the rest of us into supporting either their candidate or causes by using a short list of canned talking points.
Read more about 2008 Elections:
Super Tuesday, 20 State Primaries Vote Next Week
Conservative Third Party Presidential Challenge
Fight For Delegates, Democrats/GOP Wide Open Race
Ron Paul Is Authentic In Field Of Pretenders
Clinton/Obama Face Off Saturday In Nevada