Monday, December 31, 2007

Iowa's Thursday Caucus First Test For Candidates

Thursday night will be the first test of candidate strength in the 2008 race for the White House. As the Iowa caucus nears, polls are showing a tightening of the race both on the Republican and Democrat side. According to polling data, if the Iowa caucus was held today – Hillary Clinton would win on the democratic side while Mike Huckabee would take the honors in the GOP. However, in a world of 24 hour cable news anything can happen between now and Thursday and it is important to remember that in Iowa, voters gather together in a caucus which is much different than a regular election where the winner takes all.

The biggest surprise to me on the GOP side is the slow but steady improvement of John McCain in the polls. Most political pundits had written off John McCain several months ago after he supported an immigration law that most in the party based thought was amnesty. Right now, it appears that John McCain will finish a strong third in Thursday night's Iowa caucus' which is good news for him. On the democratic side, the race has tightened up as well with Hillary Clinton hanging on to her lead by a thread as Barack Obama and John Edwards are gaining ground daily. I believe after Thursday's caucus' in Iowa almost half of the candidates in both the GOP and democratic party will leave the race and those departures will further narrow the gap between the top three candidates in both party's.

Once again today there are news reports coming out about a potential Michael Bloomberg independent run for the White House. Really, I don't know what to think about the possibility of a third party run by New York City Mayor Michael Bloomberg. If he does decide to run for President of the United States he will be a contender because he has the ability to fund his own campaign with his own money. If Michael Bloomberg decides to enter the race for the White House as an independent candidate, there is a real possibility that all three major candidates for President, in the general election, will be from New York State. That would happen if Rudy Giuliani wins the GOP nomination and Hillary Clinton wins on the democratic side.

The presidential election of 2008 is turning out to look much different than people thought only a few months ago and I look for more changes to come as finally people start voting for their favorite candidates.

Read more about 2008 Elections:

New Poll Shows Clinton/Obama/Edwards Tied In Iowa
Iowa Voters Prepare To Caucus Next Month
Ron Paul Should Ditch The GOP – Run As Independent
Democrats Get Friendly Moderator At Debate
Alan Keyes Demagogues GOP Presidential Debate

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